The CDC has already flown hundreds of American evacuees from Wuhan, China to various cities across the United States, including San Antonio, Texas and Omaha, Nebraska. There, evacuees are being quarantined for 14 days, after which they will be released to return to their homes.
This 14-day quarantine is based on an assumption that this nCoV coronavirus has a maximum 14-day incubation period. But what if that assumption was wrong?
What if some patients actually experienced a 24-day incubation period before showing symptoms?
If that were the case, the CDC would be releasing people into the population 10 days too early, effectively contributing to the outbreak.
Guess what? That’s exactly what’s happening, according to a science paper published on the MedRxIV website, backed by the British Medical Journal and Yale. The study, entitled, “Clinical characteristics of 2019 novel coronavirus infection in China,” is noted as a “preprint” which “has not been peer-reviewed,” but the study notes that incubation periods for the coronavirus vary from zero days to 24 days.
The study was based on 1,099 patients with lab-confirmed 2019-nCoV, gathered from 552 hospitals in 31 provinces, through January 29, 2020, explains the abstract. We’ve posted a backup copy of the original PDF here, just in case MedRxIV removes it or stealth edits the paper.
The median incubation period was noted as 3.0 days. The conclusion of the paper is not good news for the world:
The 2019-nCoV epidemic spreads rapidly by human-to-human transmission. Normal radiologic findings are present among some patients with 2019-nCoV infection. The disease severity (including oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, blood leukocyte/lymphocyte count and chest X-ray/CT manifestations) predict poor clinical outcomes.
Notably, only 1.18% of the patients studied by the researchers had any direct contact with wildlife. Almost everyone in the study caught the virus from other people, underscoring the human-to-human transmission that’s exploding across China.