quote:
Originally posted by Pogo142:
EdEKit
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/gary-hart/letter-to-democrats-on-u_b_45075.htmlOf a rather long list of foreign policy issues requiring close attention, none seems more urgent than the United States' relation to Russia.
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Great analysis from Hart. Shows he was always presidential material. A lot better then what we have seen.
I disagree with his praise of Jean Kirkpatrick but that's another issue. His point was we can still work with Russia in not only strengthen our own economic interests but are political interests and world peace.
It's no surprise to see the Bush administration be so aggressive and arrogant but usually the Council on Foreign Relations is more practical, but not always. They are the US wealthy and elite's that shape US policies to fit their interests.
Good article
Pogo, Among my personal friends is a Hungarian Ex Pat who has retired from a career in high level international relations in the Private sector. Let us call this man XN. I will put you in contact with him through a voice/video chat program if you wish, but I am not going to expose his identity beyond that.
I asked him to explain the relationship between the USA and Russia in the Middle East, and to help me better understand Hart's article.
The Cold war was an economic war. The objective was to isolate the Soviet, Communist, economy from world markets. XN tells me that in the Middle East, Arabia, Persia, Pakistan and India the isolation was less effective than it was in Europe, Africa, South America and the Far East.
Cuba was a Soviet Foothold in the Western Hemisphere that Kennedy effectively kept from becoming a Soviet Military base, but was aligned economically with the Soviets.
Afghanistan resisted, with military action, Soviet occupation. They are now resisting American Occupation. The Soviets did not attempt a political or military takeover in Iran, Iraq, or Lebanon. Those countries were politically and economically aligned with Europe and the United States.
Soviet influence was strong, but not overwhelming in Syria.
From sources other than XN, Notably "Janes Weekly" Der Speigle, and Le Mond, I have learned that Russia is providing a Nuclear Umbrella for Syria, which indirectly aligned Lebanon with Russia through Syria during the Syrian occupation of Lebanon.
Iran is now being driven, according to XN, into alignment with Russia. The Iranian government is buying technology and weapons platforms from Russian suppliers.
Russian Natural Gas and petroleum products are supplying much of Europe. Russia has HUGE oil reserves extending from the Chechneya region of the Caspian sea all the way to the Arctic Ocean. Those resources are shipping to China and Japan in limited quantity through the Mediterranean.
This routing requires the tankers to travel from the Black Sea into the Mediterranean and through the Suez Canal to reach the Indian Ocean and then China.
A secure pipeline, through either Iran or Afghanistan would cut nearly 6 days off the travel time, and would reduce shipping costs. This reduction in shipping costs would increase Russian Profit, and strengthen the Russian Economy.
Much of the oil production in Alaska is exported to China Japan and Korea. Russian oil competes with this oil.
There are other economic sectors involved, but Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Libya are single resource economies. They are oil producers.
The Constant assertion that the War in Iraq is not about oil is deliberately misleading. It is absolutely about oil, because oil is the driving force for most if not all other economic sectors. All war is about economics. Not some war, ALL WAR. If a nation is trying to expand its territory, it is about the economic resource called LAND. That is colonization. The Indian Wars in North America were about colonization. South America was not "colonized" it was plundered of gold, but the invaders did not make new territory their priority. We don't have any reason to colonize the Middle East, though Israel is effectively a colony of Europe, or, as Australia was for England, a Prison Colony where undesirable are sent. I know that the Israeli immigrants are going there voluntarily, but they are going there because they have faced terrible consequences in Europe. The Holocaust was real.
The issues are all tied together. The Israel Palestine conflict is about colonization. Israel is trying to expand it's territory, drive out the indigenous people, and settle the land with Jewish immigrants from Europe and North America.
Stop discrimination against Jews in Europe, the United States and Canada. You end the pressure to colonize in the Middle East. Maintain the discrimination, you maintain the pressure. Defend the Colony of Israel and you create a flash point in the Middle East. Create a flash point in the Middle East and you have an emotional issue for war.
Pay attention to the propaganda. Iran wants to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth. So we are told. Then we are told we must destroy Iran so we have a place OUR Jews can go so they are out of our banking system. Israel/Palestine becomes the Causus Belli for an invasion or regime change in Iran.
The real causus belli is the oil in Iran, and the transport route from the Caspian to the Gulf of Arabia to China for RUSSIAN oil.